York is our destination today. I recommend laying Serious Impact in the 12F Handicap at 15:45. Frankie Dettori horses are usually overbet and according to my stats he's not got as strong a chance as the market thinks. A further mark against Serious Impact is the high draw. Looking at races with more than 10 runners the majority of winners come from a draw below 10 and none have come from a draw higher than 13. 10 year trends also support opposing the favorite with only 2 favorites winning in the past. The majority of winners also had a lot more experience than serious impact with just 2 runs under his belt.

Rosbay is another strong contender by the odds are little on the high side for me.

The likely winner should come from:

Kingsdale Orion
Overrule
Birkside

Good luck out there!